The Library
18 letters
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2025 Memo
Gimme Credit
Marks analyzes the shift in the credit landscape, highlighting opportunities in distressed debt. He emphasizes that credit investing is primarily about avoiding losers rather than picking winners.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2025 Memo
The Calculus of Value
Marks explores the mathematical relationship between interest rates, cash flows, and intrinsic value. He argues that in a higher-rate environment, the margin of safety becomes the investor's most critical tool.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2024 Memo
Ruminating on Asset Allocation
Marks argues that asset allocation should be driven by long-term return goals and risk tolerance rather than short-term market timing or complex financial engineering.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2024 Memo
The Indispensability of Risk
Argues that avoiding all risk guarantees subpar returns, and that successful investing requires taking intelligent risks where the potential reward justifies the uncertainty.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2022 Memo
What Really Matters?
This memo focuses on the importance of long-term compounding and the futility of short-term trading. Marks argues that the key to investment success is staying invested through cycles rather than reacting to volatility.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2022 Memo
Selling Out
Marks argues against the common urge to sell winners prematurely. He posits that the best way to achieve exceptional wealth is to hold great assets and let them compound, rather than attempting to time exits.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2020 Memo
Coming into Focus
Discusses the low-interest-rate environment and its impact on expected returns, arguing that investors must accept lower returns or take more risk to meet targets.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2020 Memo
You Bet!
Marks compares investing to sports betting and poker, emphasizing that success comes from understanding the relationship between price and value while correctly assessing the probability of various future outcomes.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2013 Memo
High Yield Bonds Today
Marks examines the state of the high yield market, warning that low yields and aggressive issuance require increased investor caution.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2013 Memo
The Outlook for Equities
This memo analyzes the attractiveness of stocks relative to low-yielding bonds, suggesting equities offer better long-term potential despite macro concerns.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2008 Memo
The Limits to Negativism
Written during the depths of the 2008 crisis, Marks argues that when everyone is convinced the world is ending, the potential for profit is at its highest because prices reflect total despair.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2006 Memo
Returns, Absolute Returns and Risk
This memo explores the relationship between return targets and risk, warning that seeking high absolute returns often leads to unrecognized risk exposure.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2006 Memo
You Can't Eat IRR
Marks explains the pitfalls of relying solely on Internal Rate of Return, advocating for a focus on total capital appreciation and realized cash returns.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2005 Memo
A Case in Point
Marks uses a specific real estate transaction to illustrate how excessive capital and low interest rates drive up prices. He argues that when liquidity is high, investors often ignore risk to reach for yield, leading to poor future returns.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2004 Memo
Risk and Return Today
Marks critiques the traditional capital market line, arguing that higher risk does not guarantee higher returns, but rather a wider range of outcomes. He warns that current market prices offer insufficient compensation for risk.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2002 Memo
Returns and How They Get That Way
An exploration of the mechanics of investment performance, arguing that superior returns are generated by buying assets at prices significantly below their intrinsic value.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2001 Memo
What's It All About, Alpha?
This memo explores the definitions of alpha and beta, arguing that true investment skill is the ability to generate superior returns without commensurate risk.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 1999 Memo
How's the Market?
Marks examines the state of the market at the peak of the bull run, questioning the sustainability of high returns and the complacency of investors.