The Library
15 letters
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2025 Memo
Gimme Credit
Marks analyzes the shift in the credit landscape, highlighting opportunities in distressed debt. He emphasizes that credit investing is primarily about avoiding losers rather than picking winners.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2024 Memo
The Impact of Debt
Analyzes how leverage magnifies both gains and losses, warning that excessive debt increases fragility and reduces the margin for error in portfolios.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2023 Memo
Lessons from Silicon Valley Bank
Marks analyzes the Silicon Valley Bank collapse as a classic bank run exacerbated by digital speed and interest rate risk. He emphasizes that maturity transformation remains inherently fragile when trust evaporates and liquidity dries up.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2020 Memo
The Anatomy of a Rally
Analyzes the rapid market recovery from the March lows, attributing it to aggressive Fed action and optimism regarding a V-shaped recovery despite ongoing health risks.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2018 Memo
Latest Thinking
Marks explores the implications of the prolonged low-interest-rate environment and the rise of passive investing, cautioning that these trends may distort market efficiency and risk assessment.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2015 Memo
Liquidity
Marks warns that liquidity is often ephemeral, disappearing exactly when investors need it most, and should not be relied upon as a safety net.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2010 Memo
Open and Shut
This memo describes the credit window cycle, explaining how easy access to capital leads to poor investment decisions, while tight credit creates the best opportunities for distressed debt investors.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2008 Memo
Volatility + Leverage = Dynamite
Marks warns about the lethal combination of high leverage and market volatility, explaining how forced liquidations during a crisis can destroy even fundamentally sound investment strategies that lack sufficient liquidity.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2008 Memo
The Tide Goes Out
Explains how the withdrawal of liquidity reveals the dangers of excessive leverage and poor underwriting standards that were hidden during the preceding boom.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2007 Memo
It's All Good . . . Really?
Warns that the lack of risk aversion and the abundance of cheap credit in mid-2007 signaled a dangerous market peak and impending downturn.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2007 Memo
The Race to the Bottom
This memo warns that excessive capital and optimism lead to a competition in credit standards and investment discipline, signaling a market peak.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2005 Memo
A Case in Point
Marks uses a specific real estate transaction to illustrate how excessive capital and low interest rates drive up prices. He argues that when liquidity is high, investors often ignore risk to reach for yield, leading to poor future returns.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2004 Memo
Hedge Funds: A Case for Caution
Marks examines the explosion of the hedge fund industry, warning that increased competition and massive capital inflows will lead to lower returns. He questions the sustainability of high fees in an increasingly crowded market.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 2001 Memo
Safety First . . . But Where?
Marks discusses the search for safety in a volatile market, warning that safe assets can become risky if they are overpriced due to a flight to quality.
Howard Marks Oaktree Capital 1992 Memo
Microeconomics 101: Supply, Demand and Convertibles
Using the convertible bond market as a case study, Marks explains how supply and demand imbalances create investment opportunities. He argues that technical factors often outweigh fundamentals in the short term.